Tuesday, September 5, 2017

Open Trading Period Trade Review - Part 2

BROKEBACK receives:
Trevor Williams Pit - P
Trea Turner Was - 2B,SS,OF DL
Jim Johnson Atl - P
Yuli Gurriel Hou - 1B,3B
Round 15
Round 16

ANGRY receives:
J.D. Martinez Ari - OF
Brad Hand SD - P
Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD - P
Round 12
Round 13

This is a deal that should’ve been made months ago, when Turner was first hurt. At this point, it makes a little less sense for Kyle because Turner was actively working his way back and represents a much better long-term keeper than JDM. That said, I don’t have a problem with it because JD will be very good in Arizona. Hand and Ryu are serviceable part and the pick difference wasn’t that big. Turner was a great addition by Watson, who suddenly has a top group of keepers for next season with Turner, Pollock, Rizzo, Kershaw, Miggy, and perhaps Hoskins. Meanwhile, Watson’s early selling left him short of extra early picks, but he is currently done drafting in the 14th.  With a great group of keepers and a great draftboard, Matt’s is currently in the best position of any team heading into 2018.


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ONE NUT receives:
Wil Myers SD - 1B,OF
Round 17

ANGRY receives:
Corey Dickerson TB - OF
Round 14

I’m not sure why Kyle ever listens to Jason anymore.  Dickerson has been sliding for quite a while and while he remains on pace for 92/30/71/4/.336, Wil Myers will end the season with much better numbers and much better promise for 2018.  Myers ended 2016 about a week shy of posting an amazing line of 100/30/100/30/.340. Now, he’s fallen short of that production this year, but his pace is still around 80/30/80/20/.320.  With a better lineup, he wouldn’t be far from 2016 numbers. And, even though it seems like he’s been around, Myers is still only 26. Better days are still ahead for this former top prospect.

Dickerson, meanwhile, has peaked. There’s nothing in his profile that suggests he will improve. In fact, I’m relatively confident someone will keep him and be very disappointed next year. He’s mediocre versus LHPs and is neither interested in stealing, nor is he good at it (14 for 29 lifetime). Their career OBPs are equal as well. Yes his power has been nice, but the run production is largely the result of his off placement as the leadoff hitter.

I hate this deal for Kyle. I’d want at least another 10 rounds for an excellent player who is still improving.

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MOOSE receives:
Ubaldo Jiménez Bal - P DTD
Round 11
Round 15

ONE NUT receives:
Cole Hamels Tex - P
Round 19
Round 20

I give Brian credit for not giving into the temptation to deal Hamels for pennies on the dollar before open trading. 13 rounds is a nice return for someone who is no longer a keeper but can be a stable contributor. He’s been his new self since joining the Nuts, which is a sub-4.00 guy with 6-7 K/9 and good control.  I think Jason paid for the name more than the production if you compare him to some of the other SPs who went for similar amounts.  The market was starting to dry up a bit at this point though, so he didn’t overpay by much. If he thought he was getting some keeper currency for later, I fear he’ll be very disappointed.

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S. NAPALM  receives:
Salvador Perez KC - C DL
Seth Lugo NYM - P
Round 10

LOC receives:
Kevin Gausman Bal - P
Jonathan Lucroy Col - C,1B
Round 18
One of those trades I’ll be interested to look at when the season is over. So far, Lucroy hasn’t done much better in COL, but he’s getting on base and Perez was battling injuries.  Gausman, meanwhile, joined the tream red hot, but has only managed 1 QS in three starts and psoted a 6.06/1.65. He’s a tough one to peg, but someone whose upside and ability to get hot can change the fortunes of a team. Still, eight rounds seems like a lot for this return given some of the other options available. Gibby continues to do nice work in this regard.

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DONKEY receives:
Travis Shaw Mil - 1B,3B DTD
Tommy Pham StL - OF
Round 16
Round 16
Round 17

STROMAN receives:
Eric Thames Mil - 1B,OF
Round 8
Round 13
Round 14


It’s amazing to think what Eric Thames might have been traded for in mid-May and to consider that he is just a throw-in in this deal. But it is what it is. He was never that great of a hitter in his first bout and Korean power simply does not translate the same. I certainly expected more than a pace of 73/27/52/4/.351 though. In fact, I expected something more like the 84/33/103/11/.355 pace that Travis Shaw is on this season.  Shaw has slowed down, which is to be expected, but he has played himself into keeper consideration. Meanwhile, Pham was acquired by Jeff as a throw-in in the Keirmeier deal and he went on to post a 33/8/24/9/.413 line in 42 games for Jeff. I’d say 14 rounds, including a second rounder, is a pretty acceptable return for these two players given their lack of name branding. 

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