Week 16 Real Rankings

NOTES

The average Real Rankings and actual standings are starting to look even more similar.  While there is a common perception that H2H is too contingent on luck and matchups, the RR have consistently produced data indicating luck isn’t a factor over long time period. Half the league is in the same spot in the RR and Actual, six are within one spot, and one team is two spots away. Rotisserie is for chickens.

Kyle officially has the most balanced team, ranking tops in hitting and pitching for RR for the season. The #2 teams aren’t far behind, but it’s certainly an achievement worth noting as it is difficult to achieve that balance.

Heading into the open trading period, Jeff’s Take the Knebels are the hottest team over the last four weeks – by a significant margin.  Their place in the standings is a little flimsy, but there’s some clear upward trajectory here that the other playoff teams should note. Likewise, Gibby’s Napalm were making noise prior to the prolonged Week 16.  Chad’s Tomahawks also had a poor week, dropping him to 5^th over the last 4.  

It’ll be interesting to see how Brian decides to go.  He’s 6^th over the last 4, but 10^th in the standings and grouped amongst a bunch of teams with rosters that have largely underachieved.  To a lesser extent, Dan’s team has been top 8 over the last 4, but remains outside the playoff spot and produced a dud in week 16.  The relative production should be kept in mind for both team as their averages over the last 4 -- 6.7 and 7.3, respectively – aren’t anything to write home about.

On the other side, Jason’s One Nuts are technically in a playoff spot, but are in danger of falling out.  The team has actually been pretty good, but he has also been the second most volatile team for the season  Meanwhile, Chris’s Thor is 2^nd in the standings by 9^th over the last 4 (last two weeks have been good though).

Teams that are selling:  Anal, Brokeback, Donkey, Cowhide.  Everyone else seems to be either waiting to decide or waiting for prices to come down. Only one big trade so far, with Tanaka/Gattis going for a 9^th rounder, but I know from discussing with some of you that conversations are taking place.  Best advice for anyone that is on the fence is to look at the rosters of the top teams and try to determine how close you are. If it’s a few pieces and some luck, go for it. If your pitching roster look like an SP2 and a bunch of SP5s and your offense has been fueled by a nobody on a heater, then maybe not.

Still need money from Watson ($115), Dave, Dan, Dagan, and Chris. Don’t make me beg.  Paypal is adrok71@yahoo.com