Friday, June 21, 2019

Week 10 & 11 Real Rankings




Lots of movement in the standings and real rankings since the last post. Kyle dropped out of the top spot while Chad made the leap into to the top spot and has a pretty healthy lead over third and below. As shown in the VAR column (volatility measure), Chad has been by far the most steady performer over the course of the season, which says a lot about his abilities given that he has also made the most roster moves so far. Perhaps even more impressive is he is second overall in pitching and first in hitting, which far exceeds anyone else in terms of average ranking in the two categories. Unfortunately, he still only sits tied for fourth in the standings with 5.5 games out.

Below is the average RR over the last 4 weeks. Kyle's pirates would've been 5.4 and in first if it wasn't for the 10.9 egg laid last week - tied for the second worst week of any team this season. For my Revenge, the real performance is starting to catch up to the standings, which obviously preferable to the alternative. Meanwhile, Ring and Grit are some noteworthy sliders.

RR - LAST 4 WEEKS
1Montezuma's Revenge5.70
2Anal Hershiser5.83
3Take the Knebel6.00
4Tomahawk chops6.03
5Sexual Napalm6.58
6The Angry Pirates6.78
7Donkey Punchers7.30
8Cowhide Joyride7.70
8One Nut Wonders7.70
10Brokeback Moundmen7.80
11Grit Beer and Balls7.88
12Moose is Loose!7.98
13Ring of Fire8.08
14Knuckle Sandwich8.20

We're at the halfway mark of our 21-week regular season, so it's a good time to try to figure out which direction your going. There are a lot of middling teams that could be a hot streak away from a top position. There's also 8 playoff spots, so you're more likely to make the playoffs than not in this league, making it a seller's market. Generally, the most successful rebuilds start with selling off non-keeper assets for picks and adding potentially high-octane replacements, which you also sell as their performance dictates. Obvious keepers can get top dollar value, but its important to keep in mind that picks in rounds 7-10 can only be traded in the open trading period from July 28-Aug 11. So, it may be worth holding on to obvious keepers until you can maximize their value.

If you end up selling, let the masses know! There's no shortage of teams with holes.

It's always interesting to see which players fall off and which players sustain. So often what looks like a breakout turns into a flatlining player who everyone is shocked to see dropped -- then you look at the recent numbers. But then you get the legit emergence of players like Kepler, Marter, Giolito, Renfroe -- all guys people one time had a hardon for, but hadn't quite put it together. Here they are, nearing the end of June and they're producing like legit keepers. 

TOP 25 - LAST 30 DAYS
1
Mike Trout LAA - OF 
Montezuma's Revenge
2
Max Scherzer Was - P 
Montezuma's Revenge
3
Christian Yelich Mil - OF 
The Angry Pirates
4
Max Kepler Min - OF
Knuckle Sandwich
5
Ketel Marte Ari - 2B,SS,OF
Brokeback Moundmen
6
Freddie Freeman Atl - 1B 
One Nut Wonders
7
Nolan Arenado Col - 3B 
Anal Hershiser
8
Charlie Morton TB - P
Take the Knebel
9
Lucas Giolito CWS - P
Sexual Napalm
10
Trevor Story Col - SS 
Ring of Fire
11
Carlos Santana Cle - 1B,3B
Anal Hershiser
12
David Dahl Col - OF 
Cowhide Joyride
13
Chris Sale Bos - P 
Moose is Loose!
14
Walker Buehler LAD - P 
Anal Hershiser
15
Starling Marte Pit - OF 
Anal Hershiser
16
Xander Bogaerts Bos - SS 
One Nut Wonders
17
Anthony Rizzo ChC - 1B 
Brokeback Moundmen
18
Hunter Renfroe SD - OF
Grit Beer and Balls
19
Jacob deGrom NYM - P 
Grit Beer and Balls
20
Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD - P
Tomahawk chops
21
Anthony Rendon Was - 3B 
The Angry Pirates
22
Garrett Cooper Mia - 1B,OF
Cowhide Joyride
23
José Berríos Min - P 
Ring of Fire
24
Alex Bregman Hou - 3B,SS 
Tomahawk chops
25
Justin Verlander Hou - P 
Tomahawk chops


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