Thursday, April 8, 2010

2010 High & Tight Draft Review



Round 7
Best Player: Pablo Sandoval, Keepin – Easily the best player. Even without C eligibility. This is a keeper league and he’s gonna keep getting better.
Best Value: Adam Dunn, Grumpy – As if Casten’s team needed more help (on paper), he got one of the most underrated players in (OBP league) fantasy baseball to go with Hanley, A-Rod, Braun and Pujols.
Worst Player: Stephen Strasburg, CC – At least with Jason’s Heyward pick, he’s in the majors now. Strasburg probably won’t be up til June, maybe. Then he has to produce at a high level. Odds that he outproduces Josh Johnson, Ubaldo, Beckett, Nolasco (I can keep going) are not good.
Worst Value: Strasburg – Clayton Kershaw was born in May 1988, Stasburg in July 1988. Clayton had a 2.79 era and nearly 10 K/9. Strasburg was playing in college. Nuf said.

Round 8
Best Player: Josh Beckett, Montezuma – Should’ve been taken in top 8.
Best Value: Clayton Kershaw, CC – Makes amends for Strasburg pick.
Worst Player: Mark DeRosa – Pretty easily the choice here. I know he’s your guy Brownie, but he’s just not really that good.
Worst Value: DeRosa – Yeah, probably would’ve been there in round 18.

Round 9
Best Player: Brian Roberts, One Nut – Could’ve gone in the first, somehow dropped. Not terribly concerned about spring injury.
Best Value: Roberts – Worthy of being a keeper, so nice for Jason to find one much later.
Worst Player: Alexei Ramirez, Cowhide – His rookie year gave hope for improvement, since then he’s just been average. Would much rather have Yunel Escobar in 13.
Worst Value: Carlos Beltran, CC – Back in June, maybe? Then will he be the same? Is that even that great? Too many questions for Round 9, maybe 12.

Round 10
Best Player: Chad Billingsley, Donkey – A lot of pitchers with question marks in this round, but Billingsley has the most upside. Still just 25.
Best Value: Carlos Gonzalez, CC – I beat Russ up, then I hug him. It’s my thing. Love CarGo. Could be a five category producer this year.
Worst Player: Andrew Bailey, Cowhide – Hate relievers this early, really don’t like ones without a track record, who also have some injury concerns.
Worst Value: Asdrubal Cabrera, Montezuma – Considering the next shortstops – Bartlett in the 12th and Yunel in the 13th and Drew in 15th – are all basically the same, didn’t go for three rounds, not very good “value” here.

Round 11
Best Player: Scott Baker, Angry – Better than a bunch of pitchers that went before him. Could break out this year.
Best Value: Jose Valverde, CC – Of the seven relievers that went in this round, JV is the best, but was taken sixth.
Worst Player: Russell Martin, Cowhide – Catcher was a tough one to judge this year, but Martin, especially considering his injuries, was not the fifth best catcher.
Worst Value: Martin – Taken second in the round. Next catcher was Montero in 13th, Suzuki in the 14th.

Round 12
Best Player: Jason Bartlett, Ring – If he produces the same as last year, easily the best player taken in this round. The question is whether he will.
Best Value: Raul Ibanez, Billy – Age probably caused him to drop, but even at 36 last year he was a top 5 player most the year before a hammy injury. Nice get here.
Worst Player: Howie Kendrick, Keepin it Real – We’ve heard about this guy winning a batting title for five years, yet he’s never proven durable enough. But even when you project past stats over a full season, he is not exceptional in any category. Oh and even if he is a batting champion, we don’t count AVG.
Worst Value: Rick Porcello, Moose – Just not the pitcher to take here. Another guy who didn’t do anything great last year other than perform well for a 21 year old. But he’s not keeper worthy and I’d be surprised if he improves significantly on last year’s numbers.

Round 13
Best Player: AJ Burnett, Cowhide – Not really sure why he fell. One of a handful of guys who can get 200 Ks. Sure Yankee Stadium and the division is scary, but he can be dominant.
Best Value: Brad Hawpe, Prestige – A guy who annually is undervalued, likely due to his propensity to have bad slumps. Nice get here.
Worst Player: Hiroki Kuroda, Donkey – Not much contest here. Over Oswalt, Lowe, Kazmir, Lilly or Zambrano? No, no, no.
Worst Value: Kuroda.

Round 14
Best Player: Roy Oswalt, Donkey – The shimmer has sort of faded on this one-time stud, but he still brings it consistently, has some big games and good rates.
Best Value: Kurt Suzuki, Angry – His OBP leaves much to be desired but he’s consistent, always plays and young. As I said, lots of question marks at catcher this year. Suzuki is not one.
Worst Player: Mark Buerhle, Billy – Tough choice here in a solid round, but the ChiSox ace is only OK.
Worst Value: Frank Fransisco, One Nut – Just wasn’t one of the top closers available. Hoffman, Qualls, Jenks, Franklin are all better.

Round 15
Best Player: Trevor Hoffman, Montezuma – Better than many closers off the board.
Best Value: Kyle Blanks, Ring – Perfect time to take this high-upside youngster.
Worst Player: Kevin Corriea, Billy – I will be shocked if he doesn’t end up on the waiver wire at some point. Yahoo overvalued and so did Brownie.
Worst Value: Corriea – Pretty solid round otherwise.

Round 16
Best Player: Michael Bourn, Moose – Amazing he lasted this long, especially since Casten once had him as a keeper.
Best Value: Nick Swisher, Billy – Undervalued in OBP leagues. Had a great season and will produce similar numbers. Maybe better.
Worst Player: Leo Nunez, Donkey – I know why you took him. There aren’t many closers left with jobs at this point, but this guy is probably the most likely reliever to not be a closer by the end of the year.
Worst Value: Nunez.

Round 17
Best Player: James Loney, Keepin – His homers are weak, but everything else is good and he’s young. Power could jump, then he’s a Round 10 player.
Best Value: Ryan Franklin, Moose – Aardsma goes in the 12th and Franklin last five more rounds? Doesn’t make much sense to me.
Worst Player: Josh Whillingham, Angry – Just one of those guys who always appears on the waiver wire at some point. Pierre, Rivera, Soriano, Guitterez, McLouth, Ludwick, Rajai… Yeah there’s more.
Worst Value: Matt Lindstrom, One Nut – Has a job, but he’s wild and prone to injury. Other more solid guys were there.

Round 18
Best Player: TIE: Paul Konerko, Grumpy/ Ryan Ludwick, Billy – Couple guys who don’t excite, but won’t disappoint. Perfect UTILs.
Best Value: Nate McLouth, Cowhid – I know he had a tough spring, but this drop was pretty dramatic.
Worst Player: Franklin Morales, CC – No clue why he went before Street. Street will be back in May and Morales will be back in the 7th inning and the waiver wire.
Worst Value: Morales.

Round 19
Best Player: Juan Pierre, Moose – Still relatively young and Ozzie said he’ll be let loose. 70 SB is not out of the realm of possibility, which would make him a top 25 player.
Best Value: Vladmir Guerrero, Donkey – He’s not as old as you think and the combination of being a DH and hitting in Texas make him very valuable this late.
Worst Player: Chris Young (OF), One Nut – It’s funny. Last year I declared this guy the best pick of the draft. This year he’s the worst, in large part because Jason didn’t mean to pick THAT Chris Young. Big blunder.
Worst Value (besides Young): Scott Feldman, Angry – I know others wanted him and certainly most mags had him ranked this high, but I just don’t think he is going to be worth this draft spot. Only reason he was last year was the Ws.

Round 20
Best Player: Martin Prado, CC – Sort of speculative choice here, but position eligibility is a very underrated part of fantasy baseball. Flexibility is important and allows other roster spots to open up and Prado play three well, with a strong OBP. Solid choice.
Best Value: Mat Latos, Angry – This is a good round to take a chance and Latos – a high K, young pitcher in a big ballpark – is a solid risk.
Worst Player: Aroldis Chapman, Grumpy – Maybe I just have something against drafting minor leaguers. In our league, it rarely works out. Maybe this guy is that special, but I really don’t want to wait to find out.
Worst Value: Chapman – Latos has a rotation spot, Chapman doesn’t. In a league with no minor league slots, it makes all the difference in the world.

Round 21
Best Player: Daisuke Matsuzaka, Keepin – Another pick that could pay off big. Capable of 180 Ks. If he wasn’t injured, would’ve gone higher.
Best Value: Brad Lidge, Montezuma – Will be back in April and will get his job back. Madson is not that good. Hoffman was similarly valuable last year. Rauch also ends up being a good pick here for One Nut.
Worst Player: Kevin Gregg, Moose – The problem with Gregg is his only value is if he’s closing. Otherwise he’s just a mediocre, no K middle reliever with no value. He’s not the closer, thus no value.
Worst Value: Kenshin Kawakami, Donkey – Just a low-upside guy who will no doubt hit the waiver wire at some point.

Round 22
Best Player: Miguel Tejeda, One Nut – Proved last year he can contribute even without the roids. The upcoming 3B eligibility is an added bonus.
Best Value: Everth Cabrera, Angry – Really like this pick because the guy could easily steal 40 or more, is young and will get playing time.
Worst Player: Dexter Fowler, Montezuma – In my defense, he wasn’t on the wrong side of a platoon when he was drafted.
Worst Value: Ross Ohlendorf, Prestige – Pirates pitchers make me vomit. They’re just all have the same unappealing potential for 180 IP, 110K, 4.25 ERA, 1.40 WHIP (insert vomit sound here).

Round 23
Best Player: Hideki Matsui, Keepin – Like Guerrero-lite this year. If he’s healthy Pierce found a gem very late.
Best Value: Erik Bedard, Moose – There’s a lot of players you could say “When he’s healthy he’s good.” But few are very good, when healthy. Bedard is one of those guys, he’s working on a 1-year contract and should be on the mound soon. Nice pick.
Worst Player: Alex Gordon, One Nut – Oh how the mighty have fallen. Just hasn’t shown anything and is injured again. Not worth a spot.
Worst Value: Gordon.

Round 24
Best Player: Vernon Wells, Cowhide – Wish I got this up sooner, because I really felt this was a great pick by Dave when it happened -- even though it may have been Auto-drafted. Four homers in first three games has proven that to be true.
Best Value: Andy Pettite, Montezuma – Solid pitcher late in the draft.
Worst Player: Clint Barmes, Billy – Tough to criticize anyone in the last round but Barmes, yeah, he had some homers and position eligibility, but OBP was horrid and likely will have to share time.
Worst Value: Desmond Jennings, CC – Yet another minor leaguer. Probably won’t get full time gig until Crawford is gone in 2011 so kind of a worthless pick.

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