Tuesday, September 6, 2016

Final Real Rankings



That’s It! The season is over and the playoffs are underway. The Real Rankings show Jason’s regular season championship was well deserved and the late surge in RR by the Revenge allows my squad to leapfrog Gibby into second, reflecting the actual standings. Jason's big season will push him into second in the all-time standings, moving past Dagan.

Jason's 265 HR was the most ever all-time. He led the league in R, HR, RBI, K, ERA, WHIP, and QS -- a truly remarkable regular season. One of the most dominant of all time.

The most dominant H2H in a single category: Montezumas K 19-2, Keepin 17-4 ERA, Keepin 16-5 WHIP, One Nut 17-4 WHIP, Montezumas OBP 16-5.

Dagan and myself finished over 100 wins for the 11th time out of 12 seasons. This was my 11th straight 100 win season. It was also my third straight 125-win seasons, which is the second time that has happened in High and Tight. The first was, well, me in 2006-08.
 
Overall, most teams were very close in the Real Rankings to their Actual Standings except for two big outliers. Shomphe’s discrepancy can be partially explained by his VAR, which was  by far the highest of any team in the top half of the RR standings. With a  range of 3.0 – 10.8, it was hard to know which team would show up, and volatility can be a killer if your schedule isn’t working in your favor. He also had the 10th best hitting and 4th best pitching, so there was a lack of balance.
 
With Urban, it’s really hard to say. Balanced and below the league average in terms of volatility. Dan is an active owner too, using nearly all of his transactions for the season (57 of 60). Anecdotally, his roster was pretty stacked too, so this one is a bit baffling. He did a nice job selling at the deadline and has good keepers, so Dan could make some noise next year.
 
Last four weeks gives a good idea of who is hot and who is not heading into the playoffs. Some noteworthy points are that Anal is the only playoff team outside the top 8 (Moose, who missed the playoffs by 0.5 games, is 9th). Meanwhile, Keepin was looking like a fledgling luck-fueled playoff-bound team before the trading deadline, but things have turned on as of late as he’s third place in the last four weeks and climbed to fifth in the actual standings for the season.

Last 4 Weeks

1
Montezuma's Revenge
5.33
2
One Nut Wonders
5.60
3
Keepin it REAL...
6.00
4
Stroman my Cobb Odor
6.05
5
Sexual Napalm
6.60
6
Cowhide Joyride
6.60
7
Ring of Fire
6.85
8
Moose is Loose!
7.03
9
Thor's Hammered
7.58
10
Donkey Punchers
7.70
11
Anal Hershiser
7.80
12
Urban Achievers
8.15
13
Brokeback Moundmen
8.60
14
The Angry Pirates
9.80
 
Here’s the top 25 player for the 30 days. Some interesting observations is the prevalence of Stroman by Cobb Odor players (5), including the upstart FA pickup Alex Bregman. Bregman joins Sanchez and Turner in a small group of top 25 youngsters who were essentially FAs and now could easily be keepers.  The list also helps explain Keepin’s resurgence the last few weeks (including Abreu!) and why Napalm’s offense ultimately became the best in the league.
 
1. 2B Brian Dozier Min – Montezumas
2. 1B Freddie Freeman Atl – S. Napalm
3. 3B Nolan Arenado Col – A. Hershiser
4. 3B Kris Bryant CHC – Ring
5. 3B Adrian Beltre Tex – Stroman
6. SP Kyle Hendricks CHC - Stroman
7. OF Mike Trout LAA – Brokeback
8. SP Justin Verlander Det - Stroman
9. 1B Paul Goldshmidt Ari – Ring
10. OF Charlie Blackmon Col – Stroman
11. 1B Joey Votto Cin – Ring
12. OF Mookie Betts Bos – S. Napalm
13. SS Alex Bregman Hou – Stroman
14. SP Jon Lester CHC – S. Napalm
15. SP Rick Porcello Bos – Keepin
16. C Gary Sanchez NYY – Urban
17. OF Trea Turner Was – Angry
18. OF George Springer Hou – Anal
19. 1B Jose Abreu CHW – Keepin
20. 1B Chris Carter Mil – Brokeback
21. 1B Chris Davis Bal – Moose
22. OF Mark Trumbo Bal – One Nut
23. 3B Jose Ramirez Cle – Anal
24. SP Chris Sale CHW – Keepin
25. 3B Manny Machado Bal – S. Napalm

Still need money from Shomphe, Dagan, Jason (can take it from your winnings), Brian and Watson.  Dave owes another $15 as well.

Kyle will owe another $30 next year and Dan will owe another $15. 

Draft order for next year:
1. Moose
2. Thors
3. Donkey
4. Brokeback
5. Urban
6. Angry Pirates
7-14: lottery