Trade Review: Moose and Cowhide

Cowhide receives:

OF Tyler Colvin COL

3B Eric Chavez ARI

SP Alfredo Figaro MIL

16^th rounder

18^th rounder

Moose receives:

SP Travis Wood CHC

OF Torii Hunter DET

SS Andrelton Simmons ATL

21^st rounder

24^th rounder

Let’s just clear this up from the beginning, Dave got 11 rounds for Travis Wood and Torii Hunter. Moose gets some semblance of a fillin at SS while Everth and Tulo are out, but honestly Simmons isn’t any better than the waiver options out there. So was it enough? Well, we should start with Wood since he’s been just a monster this year. Never a big K guy, his 69/2.85/1.00/14 is most certainly very useful with a remarkable 93% QS%. The problem is Dave might’ve just sucked the value out of him and tossed the carcass over to Brian – 93% is simply not sustainable. The only two guys who had QS% last year over 80% (min 15 games started) happen to win the Cy Young awards for their respective league – Dickey had 83.3% and Price had 81.8%. I don’t see Wood winning a Cy Young. He could certainly continue to be useful and end with a very good 3.25/1.20 line, but that would mean he would need to post like a 4.00/1.30 line going forward (i.e., regress). Perhaps he’s like Dickey last year (minus the Ks obviously) and this is just his year, but I doubt it. His xFIP is 4.35 and this difference between his xFIP and his ERA is up there with a slew of other regression-likely types – Jeff Locke, Alexi Ogando, Patrick Corbin, Jeremy Guthrie, etc. I expect him to continue to be useful, certainly not someone I would feel like dealing off – along with an old but useful OF (40/3/30/1/.346) – in order to move up from the late rounds to the mid/late rounds if I was a playoff contending team, and Dave certainly is at this point. In that respect, it’s curious, but perhaps Dave just saw an opportunity to maximize the value he had.

So, while an odd move certainly, I would say despite first glance inclination making it look like Dave got duped, I expect Wood’s 71^st overall ranking to drop to about 171^st by the end of the season, making this a pretty fair, exceedingly boring exchange.