Moose receives:
Ian Kinsler Det – 2B
Evan Gattis Hou – C, OF
Round 21
Urban receives:
Francisco Cervelli Pit – C, 1B
Chris Colabello Tor – 1B, OF
Round 10
It’s always hard to choose a winner with deadline deals since they
typically benefit both teams pretty evenly. That said, I’m not a big fan of
either Kinsler or Gattis, so getting a restricted pick for those guys (11
rounds total upgrade) is pretty damn good for Dan. Neither are keepers in my
mind. Kinsler’s power and speed have fallen gradually as he’s aged. He’s still
a nice source of runs and decent OBPs, but nothing like the 20/40 days – more
like 10/15. So, while he is a safe producer for the near future, he’s not very
compelling long term. Gattis meanwhile does two things well – hit HRs and drive
in guys. This is helpful, particularly from the C position. However, Brian’s
roster has more work that could be done and there was still some meat left on
Dan’s roster to nip at. Meanwhile, Dan continues to do a nice job building an
impressive draft board for next season.
----------------------------------------------------
Keepin receives:
Corey Dickerson Col - OF DL
Luke Gregerson Hou - P
Lucas Giolito Was - P NA
One Nut receives:
Jacoby Ellsbury NYY - OF
Craig Kimbrel SD - P
Not sure how Jason got out of this one without giving up a pick, but I’m
sure he did a nice sell job on CDick as a better long-term piece than Jacoby.
I’m skeptical though. CDick’s 162 game average for his career (of only 776 abs)
is 81/23/74/7/.349 – nothing special. Meanwhile, he has no pedigree of which to
speak and an injury history that is not helping his owners. I’m sure he’s a
keeper next year, but not sure he’s better than Jacoby, who is still only 31,
and he’s coming off a 71/16/70/39/.328 season.
With his current rate of production over 600 abs, he’s have a line of
104/10/55/35/.348, which just says to me that he’s still producing at the same
level when he’s healthy. He’s healthy and on a contender, so it’s a major boon
for Jason. Kimbrel is great, but we have effectively devalued the RP position,
so while his name is big, his contribution should be just middle of the road –
especially considering San Diego’s lack of winning this year. Not sure if
Giolito was presented as someone of value, but he’s not. Great prospect sure,
but he’s not coming up with only 10 innings logged above A ball and Roark and
Ross already ahead of him. He would be a tremendously foolish keeper, so yeah,
not much there. The only thing I can say for Pierce here is CDick has shown
promise at times and if he can start a string of 600 abs season starting with
his age 27 season next year, he is likely to outproduce Ellsbury over the next
three years. But that’s a big IF and the fact that he doesn’t have more than
800 abs before he turns 27 should make you skeptical. Overall, would’ve been
fine with this trade with 8 rounds or so going back to Pierce.
----------------------------------------------------
One Nut receives:
Cameron Maybin Atl - OF
Round 19
Cowhide receives:
Mike Moustakas KC - 3B
Round 17 (traded from Moose is Loose!)
One of those trades that if you looked at it at the beginning of the
season, you would’ve said “Wait, why bother?” Well, as much a Moose was a beast
in the first half, Maybin was also pretty damn impressive. I mean, if you
consider he could be a leadoff hitter and get 700 abs (about double his current
output), you’d have something like 90/15/90/35/.330. That’s what everyone
expected of him when he was a top 3 overall prospect in the Tigers
organization. His 162 game average for his career is 78/10/49/27/.312, so it’s
not really something to count on, but the bottom line is, at age 28, we’re
seeing some of the promise. Meanwhile, Moose got hurt and started to suck, so
now he’s sitting on the wire waiting for a surge of production. All that said,
Maybin has come back to life a bit the past month and for some reason Jason
felt the need to add a sixth player that is only eligible at OF. Not really
sure he was worth the picks, but then again, it wasn’t much, so let’s just move
along..
----------------------------------------------------
Montezuma's receives:
Melky Cabrera CWS - OF
Danny Salazar Cle - P
Round 17
Cowhide receives:
Brandon Moss StL - 1B,OF
Joe Ross Was - P
Round 8
Cut away some of the interesting peripheral compensation here and you
get a solid swap of Danny Salazar for nine rounds, to the second round to be
exact. He’s been the eighth best starter in fantasy over the past 30 days with
35 ks in 35 ip and a 1.53/0.76 and 5 QS. The numbers just build on what has
been a great season for the young flame thrower 143K in 125 ip/3.38 era/1.07
whip/12 QS. Not bad for someone Dave grabbed off the wire because he was sent
to the minors before the season. He may have not taken him to the promise land,
but Dave is certainly capitalizing on his value. Meanwhile, he gives me another
high-end/slightly risky starter who can dominate any opponent. An 8th
rounder is a big piece to give away, but there was also a defensive mindset
here as well. Looking at the other pieces, the Melk Man has been a massive
disappointment this year, but it looks like he’s mixed himself a nice HGH
cocktail in the last month as he’s the 17th best overall player
since early July. He replaces Moss, who has had his moments but overall has
struggled in everything but the power department, likely due to his balky hip
issues. The sub-.300 OBP just was not what I had hoped for given his on base
skills. Dave may have also received a great piece that he can deal later as Joe
Ross has recently been named a permanent member of the rotation after an
impressive fist few showings in the bigs. My concern was that he’d be sent down
or capped eventually, but looks like I maybe should have waited longer. Though
he may help my team in a big way, an 8th rounder is a lot to give up
for one not-so-significant-now upgrade to a starter and a maybe-good OF. If
Salazar keeps it up and ends the year as a consensus keeper, then I likely won
this one. But he’s not there yet and Dave’s rebuilding efforts are off to a
nice start.
----------------------------------------------------
Angry receives:
Álex Rodríguez NYY - 3B
David Price Tor - P
Jimmy Nelson Mil - P
Round 18
Round 20
Round 21
Cowhide receives:
Danny Duffy KC - P
Trevor Plouffe Min - 1B,3B
Clay Buchholz Bos - P DL
Round 7
Round 11
Round 13
Whoa boy… that’s the way to get an open trading period started. Man oh
man. That’s 28 rounds, including a first rounder! May be even more epic than
Jason’s 35-round deal last year because of the first rounder. The problem is, I
don’t think Kyle got the best return because only one of the guys he got is a
keeper. You could make a case for ARod, but I don’t think anyone will be giving
up substantial compensation for a 40-something, artificially inflated,
oft-injured DH. He could get a bunch for Price or keep him, but it’s also an SP
and there’s lot of good players in this tier, so the value is lessened some.
Meanwhile, Nelson has looked fantastic this year and has really grown quite a
bit in his age 26 season, but he’s still just 114/3.57/1.23/11, which just
doesn’t project as a long term piece for anybody. For this year, you have a
stunning 31/0.79/0.97/5 ouput in the last 30 days. If that continues, Kyle may
be riding Jimmy to a championship. You have to be pretty skeptical though
because he’s never had this success before in the bigs and, while a good
prospect, he was never a great one. There’s lots to like, but also a lot to be leery
about, not to mention the Brewers may want to save some of those bullets for
next season (though it doesn’t look like they’ve said they will put a cap on
his innings yet). I just say all that to conclude I think Kyle probably gave up
too much here and perhaps should’ve insisted on a bit more from Dave, who had
other chunks of meat to nibble off his dead roster. David Price could be a game
changer, but as Jason has proven many times, depth is key when going for a
championship and Kyle may have missed an opportunity to get a little deeper.
----------------------------------------------------
Urban receives:
Tony Watson Pit - P
David Phelps Mia - P
Round 12
Montezuma's receives:
Matt Shoemaker LAA - P
Tyson Ross SD - P
Round 23
A little pre-open trading action between Dan and myself. This one was a
few days in the making as we originally started with much larger aspirations, with
big moving parts on either side, but couldn’t find a good middle ground on
which to settle. So we ended up with a pitchers-for-pick swap. Eleven rounds is
a lot to give up for a guy with a 1.39 WHIP, but Ross has been very good in the
past 30 days, posting a 30/2.70/1.20/3 in 30 ip. He profiles similar to Salazar
with the high K upside and recent prowess, but with a history of volatility
that could come back to bite me at precisely the worst time. They both have
keeper potential so there’s possibility of future return on value, depending on
how he closes the season. Shoemaker is an interesting throw-in. While he has
pitched poorly enough overall to be nearly removed from the rotation, he has
been one of the best starters in the leage over the past 30 days with
30/1.05/1.09/3 in 25 ip. His fastball is still flat and liable to be crushed,
but his outputs look similar to last year, when he established himself as out
of nowhere up and comer. If that can continue, he’ll be much more than a
throw-in and will make that 11 rounds I gave up look a lot more appealing. Dan gets a nice return regardless and may be able to deal off Watson as well, as he has been one of the better middle relievers again this year. However, the acquisition of Soria sapped some of his value as he got bumped to the 7th inning, making it less likely for him to get a hold.
